it's already known that from spacex to nvidia, from google to openai, it's all a circular ponzi scheme. the most important factor determining whether or not all that speculative capital investment will pay off is the productivity trend of the flagship model. but that's a long-term prediction. by the time that horizon arrives, you've taken the company public, collected money from the public, and inflated the share price as much as you want based on public expectation rather than experts. as long as the derivative of productivity sits at a certain slope.
anthropic is already used to doom-marketing along the lines of "now this model is gonna mess everyone up, don't forget to ask for it at your …
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